Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#194
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#185
Pace66.6#236
Improvement-0.6#213

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#224
First Shot-0.7#198
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#242
Layup/Dunks+0.9#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#124
Freethrows-0.1#191
Improvement-3.1#302

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#175
First Shot-0.4#182
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#182
Layups/Dunks-3.0#299
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#35
Freethrows+1.5#62
Improvement+2.5#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 21.0 - 1.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 30.0 - 2.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 418.0 - 6.019.0 - 11.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 154   Pepperdine W 88-80 49%     1 - 0 +6.1 +6.4 -0.9
  Nov 21, 2018 344   @ Incarnate Word W 90-64 83%     2 - 0 +13.7 +6.9 +6.6
  Nov 24, 2018 9   @ Texas Tech L 62-93 3%     2 - 1 -10.0 +3.7 -14.3
  Nov 28, 2018 304   @ Denver W 88-72 64%     3 - 1 +10.2 +9.2 +0.7
  Dec 01, 2018 308   @ Wyoming W 85-80 66%     4 - 1 -1.3 +2.6 -4.3
  Dec 15, 2018 96   @ San Diego L 65-85 17%     4 - 2 -12.0 -5.4 -5.7
  Dec 17, 2018 53   @ New Mexico St. L 62-74 10%     4 - 3 -0.2 -5.9 +5.6
  Dec 22, 2018 213   Rider L 67-74 53%     4 - 4 -9.8 -8.5 -1.2
  Dec 23, 2018 329   SIU Edwardsville L 72-82 82%     4 - 5 -21.7 -8.7 -12.7
  Dec 29, 2018 272   @ Sacramento St. W 70-65 56%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +1.4 -1.9 +3.4
  Dec 31, 2018 275   @ Portland St. W 73-60 57%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +9.1 +2.7 +7.6
  Jan 05, 2019 345   Idaho W 83-79 OT 92%     7 - 5 3 - 0 -14.1 -0.8 -13.3
  Jan 07, 2019 227   Eastern Washington W 75-63 67%     8 - 5 4 - 0 +5.5 -1.2 +6.8
  Jan 12, 2019 130   Montana L 64-88 42%     8 - 6 4 - 1 -24.0 -11.7 -11.7
  Jan 14, 2019 241   @ Montana St. W 73-70 50%     9 - 6 5 - 1 +1.1 -0.7 +1.9
  Jan 19, 2019 212   @ Weber St. L 64-78 42%     9 - 7 5 - 2 -14.0 -8.4 -5.6
  Jan 21, 2019 324   @ Idaho St. W 77-53 72%     10 - 7 6 - 2 +15.8 +7.3 +12.0
  Jan 24, 2019 280   Southern Utah W 79-68 76%     11 - 7 7 - 2 +1.5 -0.6 +1.5
  Jan 26, 2019 300   @ Northern Arizona W 63-48 63%     12 - 7 8 - 2 +9.6 -2.8 +15.1
  Feb 04, 2019 241   Montana St. L 66-69 70%     12 - 8 8 - 3 -10.5 -17.1 +6.7
  Feb 07, 2019 275   Portland St. W 80-62 76%     13 - 8 9 - 3 +8.6 +6.9 +3.1
  Feb 09, 2019 272   Sacramento St. W 65-59 75%     14 - 8 10 - 3 -3.2 -5.1 +2.5
  Feb 14, 2019 345   @ Idaho W 75-47 84%     15 - 8 11 - 3 +15.5 +3.3 +15.6
  Feb 16, 2019 227   @ Eastern Washington L 78-88 OT 46%     15 - 9 11 - 4 -10.9 -0.8 -9.4
  Feb 25, 2019 130   @ Montana W 74-72 24%     16 - 9 12 - 4 +7.5 +9.3 -1.6
  Feb 28, 2019 212   Weber St. W 85-61 63%     17 - 9 13 - 4 +18.5 +13.0 +6.4
  Mar 02, 2019 324   Idaho St. W 71-62 86%     18 - 9 14 - 4 -4.8 -9.7 +5.3
  Mar 07, 2019 280   @ Southern Utah W 70-53 58%     19 - 9 15 - 4 +13.0 -0.7 +14.4
  Mar 09, 2019 300   Northern Arizona L 78-89 OT 80%     19 - 10 15 - 5 -21.9 -8.7 -12.2
  Mar 14, 2019 280   Southern Utah L 64-83 68%     19 - 11 -25.8 -11.4 -14.2
Projected Record 19.0 - 11.0 15.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%